Why operators care
Every hop adds absorption, reflection loss, geometry, and opportunities for fading, but ocean paths and favorable ionization can remain strong.
What to compare on air
Compare short- and long-path distance, likely hop length, takeoff angle, band, and time; treat the model as a planning explanation.
The common mistake
Assuming each hop has identical height and loss.
Space-weather indices and propagation models describe probabilities and regional conditions. A usable contact still depends on the exact path, time, frequency, antenna pattern, noise, power, and current observations.